About
The strategy behind Dividend Hunting
Dividend capture, done with data. Trained on a million dividends, every pick published and graded, so the record is yours to check.
Why Dividend Hunting exists
Dividend capture has always been a waiting game. You buy before the ex-date, you take the dividend drop, and then you wait for the stock to recover. But which stocks actually recover, and how long does it take? That is the only question that matters, and it is the hard one.
Small investors guess at recovery, track patterns by hand, and hope their capital is not stuck in a losing position. The institutions that do this well use models that forecast recovery, and those tools have always cost a fortune.
We put that capability in the hands of small investors. Dividend Hunting forecasts which stocks reclaim the ex-dividend drop, and how fast, with a real probability behind every call. The dividend is the payout. The recovery forecast is the product. And every daily pick is published and graded the next day, so the track record is yours to verify, not ours to claim.
What the model does
We analyse more than 60 years of dividend events, nearly a million of them, to train a model that answers the questions a recovery trader actually needs:
- Will it recover, and how fast? Each upcoming ex-dividend event gets a recovery probability and a same-day or multi-day call.
- Which one today? The forecasts are ranked, with the single highest-conviction one published as the Pick of the Day before the market opens.
- Did it work? Every pick is graded the next day, win or lose, in the open.
The model is retrained every trading day, so the forecasts adapt instead of going stale.
How we prove it works
We tested the strategy across every market we cover for 26 years, forecasting each year using only the data available before it, so the model never saw the answer in advance. Every single year came out positive, through the 2008 and 2020 crashes.
US is our lowest-returning market, and we lead with it on purpose: if the most conservative market holds up, that is an honest floor rather than a cherry-picked peak. There the strategy averaged about 220% a year gross, before tax, and roughly 128% to 167% after tax depending on your country, with the same capital rotated into one dividend a day, no leverage and no compounding.
And it is no longer only a backtest. Since we went public in September 2025 every pick has been posted before its ex-date and graded after, out in the open, and the live win rate has held at the same level as the backtest. You can follow the next call in real time.
Read this before you trade
What this is not
- Not a guarantee. Past results do not promise future ones. News can hit on the ex-date and turn the whole market.
- Not a live-trading signal. We do not offer real-time prices or live execution; use it to plan the trade, then act on your own broker.
- Not perfect. The model forecasts the recovery correctly about 93.1% of the time over 26 years, roughly 9 in 10. Some forecasts miss, and we publish those too.
What it is
- Evidence-based. Trained on real dividend data and graded in public.
- Conservative by design. Same-day calls only trigger above a confidence threshold.
- Practical. It tells you what matters, same-day or multi-day, not a false-precision "7.23 days".
What we believe
- Transparency. We explain how every metric works and how the model is trained. No black boxes.
- Honesty. We state plainly what the tool can and cannot do, and we publish the losing picks next to the winners. Past results are not future guarantees.
- Accessibility. From a free tier and a free emailed pick to premium and API access, there is a way in for every account size.
- Risk awareness. Market volatility, company risk and unforeseen events are real, and we say so where it counts, including the after-tax drag most tools hide.
How we are different
Most screeners chase value, growth or momentum. We do one thing: forecast dividend recovery.
| Feature | Dividend Hunting | Typical screener | Bloomberg Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Recovery forecast | Model-powered, with probability | Not available | Manual analysis only |
| Published, graded picks | Every day, win or lose | Not tracked | Not provided |
| Historical backtesting | Built-in simulator | Not available | Available, expensive |
| Ex-date calendar | Live and filterable | Basic lists | Real-time |
| Cost | From $9.99/month | Free to $29.99/month | $20,000+/year |
Built by people who trade it
Dividend Hunting is built by Oli Consulting LTD, based in Dublin, Ireland. We are a small team with a background in software engineering, quantitative analysis and financial data science, and we are mildly obsessed with getting the numbers right.
Nothing ships without proper backtesting, and we validate every metric against years of real market data before it reaches the platform.
What is next
- Predefined broker watchlists. One-click instrument lists for more popular brokers.
- Sharper forecasts. The model is retrained daily and keeps improving.
- Tax impact calculator. After-tax returns specific to your jurisdiction.
- Extended backtests. Buy-and-hold, DRIP and other strategies for comparison.
Get in touch
Questions about the platform, ideas for improvements, or a bug to report? We read every message, and a lot of what is on the platform today started as a user request.
Email: support@dividendhunting.com
Company: Oli Consulting LTD, Dublin, Ireland
See it prove itself, then decide
Every pick is published and graded in the open. Start free, or get today's Pick of the Day by email.