One pick. Five markets. Every result published. The Pick of the Day is the simplest way to follow the dividend-capture strategy: each trading day we publish the single best candidate per market, send it to your inbox, and grade it the next day, wins and losses alike.
What the Pick of the Day is
Out of the hundreds of stocks that go ex-dividend on any given day, the Pick of the Day is the one our model and a simple, transparent rule consider the best dividend-capture candidate. We publish a pick for five markets, so you can follow the one that fits your broker and time zone:
- United States: NASDAQ, NYSE, AMEX.
- North America: the US plus Canada and Mexico.
- Europe: LSE, Euronext, Xetra and more.
- Asia: India, China, Hong Kong, Korea, Japan, Taiwan and others.
- Global: the single best opportunity across every covered market.
The rule of thumb behind the pick
We keep selection deliberately simple and conservative, so it is easy to trust and easy to verify:
- Take the upcoming dividends for the market and keep the ones with a meaningful yield.
- Apply a liquidity gate: every candidate must clear a minimum dollar volume (average daily volume x price) before it is even considered.
- From the names that survive the gate, pick the highest-yield one whose same-day recovery probability is above 56%.
- If none clear that bar, drop to 53%.
- If still none qualify, we would rather sit out than force a weak trade (more on that below).
The probabilities you see are the model's real, calibrated output, never inflated. The model has learned that markets are unpredictable: it almost never claims more than ~80% certainty, and almost never less than ~20%.
Why the dollar volume filter matters
Yield and recovery odds only pay off if you can actually get in and out at the prices you see. A high share count can hide a cheap, thin stock where real trading is tiny, and on a name like that your order moves the price against you and your exit fill disappears. Dollar volume catches exactly that: it measures money changing hands, not just shares, so the gate quietly drops the illiquid traps before they can ever become a pick. That is why the highest-yield name on a given day is sometimes not the pick. If it cannot be traded cleanly, it does not belong in your account. For the full breakdown of dollar volume, the healthy and dangerous tiers, and how to size orders around it, see Average Volume: Why Liquidity Makes or Breaks Your Dividend Capture.
When it lands in your inbox
Timing is part of the edge, so delivery depends on your plan:
| Plan | When the pick is sent |
|---|---|
| Free & Basic | 15 minutes before the US market close, enough time to act before the bell. |
| Hunter | At pre-market, the morning of, so you can plan the whole day and act first. |
Every email also carries the previous pick's graded result, so the track record builds in front of you, one day at a time.
Wins, partials, and losses: all shown
Most days the price recovers and you keep the dividend (a win). Some days it only partly recovers, but the dividend still leaves the trade in profit (a partial). And roughly 1 trade in 10-15 loses, usually a small 1-2%. We publish all three. A scoreboard that only showed winners would not be worth following.
Why some days we say "wait"
If no candidate clears our confidence bar, the honest move is to take no action and preserve capital. This is very rare on large markets like the US, there is almost always a clean setup. It happens occasionally on smaller markets such as Europe, where on a quiet day every upcoming dividend may be predicted multi-day. A strategy willing to rest on a bad day is more trustworthy than one that always finds "something."
How to follow it
Subscribe to the free daily email to receive the Pick of the Day, or open the public track record to browse every pick we have ever published, by region. Upgrade to Hunter for the pre-market delivery and the full prediction detail.
Frequently asked questions
What is the Pick of the Day?
Each trading day we publish the single best dividend-capture candidate per market, chosen by the model and a simple, transparent rule, then grade it the next day, wins and losses alike.
When is the Pick of the Day sent?
Hunter and Basic subscribers get it about 15 minutes before the US pre-market opens (3.45 AM ET).
What is the real win rate?
Across published picks since 2000, about 90% in the US and North America and 93% percent in Global, Europe and Asia. We publish every result, including the losses.
